Report – Just Transition Initiative

What is "Just Transition"?

Report/Case Study; Guidelines, Strategies and Recommendations

Jul 2021

From the grand to the granular: translating just transition ambitions into investor action

The report describes the current state of the just transition discourse amongst businesses and highlights, with the help of case studies, a just transition “Expectations framework” that can be used by businesses and investors to help with investment assessments and due diligence, shareholder engagement, as well as capital allocation decisions.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: General
Focus Areas: Government intervention > Other, Regulation; Investment > ESG and corporate engagement, Other, Private finance
Keywords: supply chain; CSR; co-creation; reporting; Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD); investors; private sector; OECD’s Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises; EU taxonomy; benchmarks; Climate Action 100+ (CA100+)
By: Nick Robins, Sabrina Muller, Katarzyna Szwarc
Publishing Organization: Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science
Academic/research institution or journal
Summary: The report describes the current state of the just transition discourse amongst businesses and proposes a path forward for businesses and investors to integrate just transition considerations into business decisions. The authors identify the just transition as a critical enabling factor in reaching net zero, noting how governments are increasingly recognizing that climate policies that do not take into account the effects on employment, communities, and consumers run the risk of failure. According to the authors, as the strategic case for just transitions has deepened, leading companies in the energy system have begun to formalize their responses as part of wider climate change strategies., Investors can also play a significant role by making sure that the social dimension is fully integrated into their assessment, stewardship, capital allocation, and policy activities.

The report presents a seven-point framework that combines the governance dimension for businesses (in terms of strategy, policy dialogue, and transparency) with a stakeholder component (including workers, communities, supply chains, and consumers). The intention is for this framework to be used in investment assessments and due diligence, shareholder engagement and stewardship, as well as the capital allocation decisions for portfolio companies. The framework is applied to analyze the work accomplished to date by five European international power utility firms.

The report identifies key lessons, including that businesses acknowledge some of the core foundations of just transitions, though the strategic approach is still emerging, with and that transparency and disclosure on just transitions is still lagging. It also points out how it is likely that investors will increasingly expect an active interest from companies to promote just transitions through public policy advocacy. Furthermore, supply chain realities loom large, in terms of generating quality green jobs for local people and also making sure that sustainability and human rights due diligence are intensified in international sourcing from developing countries. The authors highlight the need for community engagement to move from traditional corporate social responsibility activities to a more transformational model that is built upon co-creation. The report concludes with some critical next steps needed, including: promoting convergence around common approaches; modeling to help identify priority areas for investors; understanding better the role of participation and investor dialogues in just transition plans; along with clarifying the investor role in just transitions in emerging and developing economies.

Report/Case Study; Guidelines, Strategies and Recommendations

Dec 2018

Climate change and the just transition: A guide for investor action

This report applies a just transition lens to investor approaches, using illustrative examples to propose a framework that helps investors to place just transition principles at the center of their climate strategies.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: General
Focus Areas: Government intervention > Other, Regulation; Investment > ESG and corporate engagement, Other, Private finance
Keywords: investors; framework; fiduciary responsibility; financial risk management; private sector; capital allocation; Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI); Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD)
By: Nick Robins, Vonda Brunsting, David Wood
Publishing Organization: Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
Academic/research institution or journal
Summary: This report contends that investing in a just transition is set to be the best way to manage the strategic risks and opportunities flowing from the shift to a prosperous, low-carbon, resilient, and inclusive global economy. It highlights the influential role played by investors as the fiduciaries of assets and allocators of capital. The report also suggests how strategies for tackling the growing threat of climate change need to incorporate the full range of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) dimensions of responsible investment. This guide draws from an international review of investor approaches and dialogues with investors to provide a framework that can be applied both by individual institutions and through collaborative initiatives to help investors place just transition principles at the center of their climate strategies.

The article, using several examples of investor actions from around the world, highlights some strategic motivations for investors to pursue this work, including: broadening the understanding of systemic risks from climate change; updating the fiduciary responsibility to capture interrelated environmental and social drivers of long-term performance; recognizing the material drivers of long-term value; and identifying new growth opportunities in areas that combine climate and social goals. Based on these motivations, the article suggests five core areas of action for investors, including investment strategy, corporate engagement, capital allocation, and policy advocacy. The article also provides initial questions for investor engagements with companies on the just transition and highlights the need to build in a process to learn from the emerging experience and the lessons of practice, in terms of corporate engagement, capital allocation, and policy advocacy.

Report/Guidelines, Strategies and Recommendations; Policy Tools or Evaluations

Nov 2018

Managing Coal Mine Closure: Achieving a just transition for all

This paper narrates the lessons and key considerations for planning and implementing a coal mine closure program, as derived from a review of global experiences and over two decades of World Bank assistance in coal mine closures to governments, enterprises, workers, and their communities.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: Mining
Focus Areas: Economic diversification/restructuring > Economic development plans; Employment > Job creation and/or equality, Skills, Social protections; Environment and/or pollution > Nature; Government intervention > Public finance, Regulation; Inequality and/or poverty > Gender inequality; Investment > Private finance; Social and/or cultural impacts > Non-financial loss
Keywords: mine mechanization; coal mine community characteristics; narrow economic base; political economy; labor mobility; mobility assistance; financial assurance mechanisms; Canada’s Industrial Adjustment Services; China’s urban Dibao social assistance program; transition funds
By: Michael C.Stanley, John E. Strongman, Rachel Bernice Perks, Helen Ba Thanh Nguyen, Wendy Cunningham, Achim Daniel Schmillen, Michael Stephen Mccormick
Publishing Organization: World Bank Group (WBG)
Development finance institution
Summary: The paper, using a review of global experiences and the World Bank’s decades of assisting governments to close mines, provides recommendations to policymakers on how to plan and implement a coal mine closure and mitigate the impacts on the people, communities, and livelihoods. The article highlights the typical characteristics of coal mining communities, which influence the potential for regional recovery after a closure. Many coal-dependent regions continue to lag behind other regions socially and economically, decades after a mine has been shut down. It further highlights how there are few if any instances of fully satisfactory economic rejuvenation outcomes in mono-industry coal mining towns, thereby emphasizing the acute need for early and careful planning to deal with the impacts of a closure.

The paper identifies nine lessons learned from managing coal mine closures, which are organized under three themes—namely policy and strategy development; people and communities; and land and environmental remediation. The policy and strategy development theme emphasizes that coal mine closures require clear policy direction, large budget outlays, and significant stakeholder consultations. The section on people and communities underlines the importance of a Just Transition for All to meet the needs of workers, families, and the wider community. The land and environmental remediation strategies advance the importance of financial planning for environmental remediation and land reclamation and summarizes a range of possible financial assurance mechanisms available. Some of these mechanisms are mobility assistance, employment services and small business support services, social assistance payments, and various financial assurance mechanisms for mine closures.

Report/Case Study; Guidelines, Strategies and Recommendations

Jun 2021

Assessing vulnerability from coal dependence and need for a just transition

This paper identifies the linkages that surround the Indian coal economy as well as the possible economic, societal, and cultural repercussions of a coal phaseout in the major coal mining states.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: Mining
Focus Areas: Employment > Job creation and/or equality; Environment and/or pollution > Nature; Government intervention > Public finance, Regulation; Inequality and/or poverty > Gender inequality; Investment > ESG and corporate engagement; Social and/or cultural impacts > Non-financial loss, Other
Keywords: Coal communities; tribal women; health insurance; income inequality; informal sector; CSR revenue; state revenue; community identity; livelihood alternatives; social capital of land; illegal mining; legislative gaps; energy democracy
By: Souvik Bhattacharjya, Ruchi Gupta, G. Mini, Saswata Chaudhury, Mani Juneja, Kartikey Sharma
Publishing Organization: The Energy and Resources Institure (TERI)
Academic/research institution or journal
Summary: This paper—the first of a two-part release from The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI)—lays out the socioeconomic and environmental contexts of the coal economy in India. The authors highlight the detrimental impacts that the phaseout is likely to have on: the livelihoods and social surplus across coal-dependent states; the coal royalties that make up a significant portion of the no-tax revenue for a state; the stoppage of social empowerment initiatives and infrastructural losses; along with the unintended losses of the financial and social structures functioning within the gray market of the coal mining industry.

The authors also draw out the disproportionate impact on women and the vulnerable within these communities expected from the phaseout. The authors contend that in a mixed economy like India, a just transition takes utmost precedence, because it not only aims to formalize the deeply informal coal sector, but also seeks to achieve the critical characteristics needed to fulfill the notion of an “energy democracy”. The paper also discusses how the existing regulatory framework cannot comprehensively handle the complex interlinkages that exist within the subsector of the informal mining segment, part of which is both licensed and illegal and part of which is artisanal in nature.

Report/Policy Tools or Evaluations

Jun 2021

Towards a Just Transition Finance Roadmap for India: Laying the foundations for practical action

The report identifies priority actions for the financial sector in India to address social risks arising from the economic transition, with the help of a just transition framework that assesses the exposure by sector and region.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: Energy; General; Industrial; Mining; Transportation
Focus Areas: Employment > Job creation and/or equality; Government intervention > Other, Public finance, Regulation; Investment > ESG and corporate engagement, Other, Private finance
Keywords: India Just Transition Finance Roadmap (JTFR) project; urbanization; digitalization; Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs); double materiality; credit rating; green bond regulations; ESG reporting; Central Banks and Supervisors Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS); freight; cement; green bonds; green loans; Reserve Bank of India; fiscal policy; CSR
By: Suranjali Tandon, Annapurna Mitra, Nick Robins
Publishing Organization: CDC Investment Works
Academic/research institution or journal
Summary: This report, a product of the India Just Transition Finance Roadmap (JTFR) project, identifies some priority actions that financial institutions can take to support climate action that also delivers positive results in terms of livelihoods and sustainable development. It involves a review of existing practices, an assessment of exposure by sector and region, and the identification of some priority actions for the finance sector. The authors describe the just transition agenda as the “connective tissue” that binds climate goals with social outcomes.

The authors highlight how India simultaneously confronts the challenges of multiple economic transitions—urbanization, digitalization, and the shift to zero carbon. They identify the distributional impacts on Indian states in sectors that are expected to be the most impacted, including: coal mining, electricity generation, agriculture, manufacturing and industry, along with transportation. Using the four dimensions of social risk arising from the net zero transition—namely livelihoods, energy access, public finance, and human development, they find that Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, Chattisgarh, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Odisha, Telangana, and Rajasthan will be the most affected by the zero-carbon transition.

The authors suggest that the framework shows a possible mapping of risks to investments, highlighting the role that financial sector players, regulators, and policymakers need to play in ensuring that a just transition is achieved. Furthermore, they highlight how the framework can be used to provide guidance for investors to understand company operations in vulnerable regions, and whether there are any investment strategies capable of mitigating the risks in these regions. It can also provide guidance for investors seeking to align capital allocations with the just transition framework. From their conversations with investors, the authors identify how the just transition is still at an early stage of development in India and needs definition and how it needs to be placed in a core sustainable developmental context. Furthermore, the conversations also reveal that policy action is a crucial catalyst for a just transition and that shareholder engagement on just transitions is increasing.

Report/Policy Tools or Evaluations

Jan 2021

Toolkit for assessing effective Territorial Just Transition Plans

This paper identifies a set of principles and proposes a tool for assessing whether European Union (EU) member states’ Territorial Just Transition Plans (TJTPs) that are required for them to access the EU Just Transition Fund would be effective for delivering a just transition.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: General
Focus Areas: Economic diversification/restructuring > Economic development plans; Government intervention > Other, Public finance; Investment > Private finance
Keywords: EU Just Transition Fund; Territorial Just Transition Plans (TJTPs); scorecard; assessment tool
Publishing Organization: World Wildlife Fund (WWF)
Non-profit organization/civil society organization
Summary: This paper identifies a set of principles and includes an associated toolkit to assess whether the Territorial Just Transition Plans (TJTPs), developed by member countries of the EU in order to access the EU Just Transition Fund, can enable the delivery of a truly just transition to climate neutrality. Targeted at policymakers, municipalities, civil society, and other partners involved in developing plans, it aims to provide guidance on what a good plan looks like and enable an evaluation of the quality of the plans developed.

The methodology of the tool is based on a series of indicators that allow one to review the performance of the plans against 10 principles. The application of the methodology, which is also available as a webtool, results in a “traffic-light” rating on the plans. WWF intended for the toolkit to be used by the European Commission, national and local policymakers, and any other stakeholders engaged in the development of the plans. WWF has also indicated that published reports are verified and added to their website’s resource page.

Report/Case Study; Policy Tools or Evaluations

Apr 2021

Workers and Communities in Transition: Report of the Just Transition Listening Project

The report synthesizes lessons from more than 100 listening sessions with labor and community groups to gather their perspectives on transitions as well as identifies how coalitions have come together and what pathways exist to a just future.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: Agriculture; Energy; General; Land-use; Mining
Focus Areas: Economic diversification/restructuring > Economic development plans, Industry and/or sector assistance or plans; Employment > Job creation and/or equality, Skills, Social protections; Environment and/or pollution > Human health; Government intervention > Public finance; Justice; Social and/or cultural impacts > Pride or cultural identity
Keywords: Just Transition Listening Project (JTLP); Transitional services; unjust transitions; social protection; employer-based health coverage; labor unions; collective bargaining; labor climate movement; Trade Adjustment Act; wage insurance; Washington Initiative 1631; Free Prior and Informed Consent; systemic racism; holistic transition; formal and informal education; “bargaining for the common good”; intergenerational mentorship; unionization; coalition building; facilitated dialogue; power inequities; Huntley Plant Closure Fund; Diablo Canyon Nuclear Plant; Lordstown Transition Center; Redwood Employee Protection Program 1978; United Steelworkers
By: J. Mijin Cha, Vivian Price, Dimitris Stevis, Todd E. Vachon, Maria Brescia-Weiler
Publishing Organization: Labor Network for Sustainability
Labor organization, Non-profit organization/civil society organization
Summary: The findings of this report are derived from more than 100 in-depth listening sessions, including qualitative interviews and focused discussion groups with workers and community members from across the United States, which were conducted in 2020. The sessions, typically lasting an hour or more, involved workers from dozens of unionized and nonunionized industries; union leaders; members of frontline communities, including environmental justice communities, communities of color, and Indigenous communities; along with leaders from labor, environmental justice, climate justice, and other community organizations.

The aim of the sessions was to capture the voices of the workers and community members who had experienced, are currently experiencing, or anticipate experiencing some form of economic transition. The report suggests how past transitions, driven by market forces, corporate entities, and shortsighted public policies, often leave workers and communities largely behind, with little to no support. As such, community trauma has gone unrecognized and unaddressed for years.

The report identifies several themes that have emerged through these sessions, including a picture of what transition entails; how coalitions have come together, particularly those including labor and environment groups; how common vision and strategies for change are built; and what pathways to a just future exist. The report also highlights how individual and collective understandings of transitions range widely, according to type of work, class, gender, race, age, political ideology, previous experiences with environmentalists or the climate justice movement, and relationships with unions and the community. The report affords insightful reading and covers recommendations for policymakers; labor and movement organizations; and future research to fill in the identified gaps in knowledge, including understanding how sectoral transitions such as automation, digitalization, hybrid working, and health care could be done in an equitable manner.

Report/Guidelines, Strategies and Recommendations; Policy Tools or Evaluations

Jul 2020

Jobs in a Net-Zero Emissions Future in Latin America and the Caribbean

The report details a decarbonization pathway for Latin America and the Caribbean region, identifies expected labor changes in various sectors, and focuses on equity considerations needed in each of the affected sectors.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: Agriculture; Energy; Industrial; Transportation
Focus Areas: COVID-19; Economic diversification/restructuring > Economic development plans, Industry and/or sector assistance or plans, Infrastructure investment; Employment > Job creation and/or equality, Skills, Social protections; Environment and/or pollution > Human health, Nature; Government intervention > Public finance; Inequality and/or poverty > Gender inequality; Investment > Competitiveness, Stranded assets
Keywords: decarbonization; input-output analysis; manufacturing; animal-based and plant based food systems; energy subsidy reform; social protection systems; Public employment programs; dietary shift; gender
By: Catherine Saget, Adrien Vogt-Schilb, Trang Luu
Publishing Organization: Inter-American Development Bank, International Labor Organization (ILO)
Inter-governmental/international organization, Labor organization
Summary: This report takes a detailed look at decarbonization pathways in the Latin America and the Caribbean region and highlights the potential to create 15 million net jobs in sectors, such as sustainable agriculture, forestry, solar and wind power, manufacturing, and construction during such a transition. The report suggests that, with adequately-designed measures to ensure that these jobs are decent and that those who lose out in the transition are protected and supported, recovery plans can create climate benefits, while also boosting growth, tackling inequality, and making progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals.

This report is based on an input-output analysis using a Global Trade Analysis Project Power database, a commonly employed tool for assessing the direct and indirect environmental and socioeconomic impacts of decarbonization efforts. The study finds that only three sectors would shrink in the transition to a decarbonized economy: 1) fossil-fuel based electricity, with about 80,000 jobs lost, or more than half of the current number; 2) fossil-fuel extraction, with almost a third of the current number, or 280,000 jobs eliminated; and 3) animal-based food production systems, with five percent of current jobs lost, representing half a million jobs.

The report provides a sectoral overview of the region and highlights how it is still struggling with gender and ethnic inequalities, skills gaps, insufficient social protection, and a large informal sector, despite more than a decade of steady progress. Prevailing decent work deficits, inequalities, and dependence on fossil fuel exports are expected to make Latin America and the Caribbean particularly susceptible to the social and economic impacts of climate change. The report also identifies the critical need for fairness in this transition and devotes a chapter to identifying the sector-wise equity and justice considerations needed to allow a successful transition in sectors that include energy, agriculture, forestry, waste management, tourism, transport, and construction.

Report/Policy Tools or Evaluations

Jun 2019

Can government transfers make energy subsidy reform socially acceptable? A case study on Ecuador

The report looks at the impact of energy subsidies in Ecuador and its distributional effects as well as explores the scenarios of how the subsidies could be removed and replaced to confer benefits to vulnerable households equitably.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: Energy
Focus Areas: Employment > Social protections; Government intervention > Other, Public finance
Keywords: subsidy removal or reform; Bono de Desarrollo Humano; cash transfer programs
By: Filip Schaffitzela, Michael Jakobb, Rafael Soriac, Adrien Vogt-Schilbd, Hauke Ward
Publishing Organization: Inter-American Development Bank
Inter-governmental/international organization
Summary: The report identifies the impact of energy subsidies on public finance in Ecuador and looks at the distributional impacts of subsidies. To inform policy design, the authors use the household survey data from Ecuador, in combination with augmented input-output data, to assess the distributional impacts of energy subsidy reform. Energy subsidies account for about seven percent of Ecuador’s yearly public spending or two-thirds of the fiscal deficit. The study finds that it costs USD20 to transfer USD1 to the bottom income quintile through gasoline subsidies; USD10 through electricity; USD9 through diesel subsidies; and USD5 through liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) subsidies. Relative to household income, subsidy removal without compensation would be regressive for diesel and LPG, progressive for gasoline, and approximately neutral for electricity.

While removing these subsidies would yield clear economic and climate benefits, the expected adverse effects on vulnerable households are likely to make such reforms politically difficult. The authors analyze how a fraction of financial resources, freed up by the subsidy reform, could be used to mitigate the income losses of poor households by means of in-kind and in-cash revenue recycling schemes. The results indicate that removing all energy subsidies and increasing the existing social protection program, Bono de Desarrollo Humano, by nearly USD50 per month would confer net benefits of almost 10 percent of their current income to the poorest quintile and also free up significant amounts in the public budget.

The authors also conduct expert interviews to evaluate the political and institutional challenges related to the energy subsidy reform. They identify two combinations of reform options and recycling schemes that would benefit the poorest 40 percent of households, namely eliminating subsidies on gasoline, while increasing the amount transferred to vulnerable households through Bono de Desarrollo Humano; and replacing the universal LPG subsidies with targeted LPG vouchers. The authors suggest that countries in Latin America may benefit from increasing energy prices to fund development programs, reduce public deficits, and incentivize a transition to a low-carbon economy. The cash transfer programs of the region could be an instrument to reduce the impact of energy price hikes on poor consumers, thereby making price reforms more palatable.

Report/Case Study; Guidelines, Strategies and Recommendations

Jul 2019

The Risk of Fiscal Collapse in Coal-Reliant Communities

This report analyzes the future of coal under various economic scenarios and the bond markets in three coal-dependent counties in the United States (U.S.) and makes recommendations on how these counties can avoid the fiscal collapse that can have an impact on regional economies through the bond market.

Geographic Scope
Sectors: Energy; Industrial; Mining
Focus Areas: Economic diversification/restructuring > Economic development plans, Infrastructure investment, Other; Employment > Job creation and/or equality, Skills, Social protections; Environment and/or pollution > Human health; Government intervention > Carbon pricing, Regulation
Keywords: Coal-dependent communities; depopulation; municipal bonds; coal revenues
By: Adele C. Morris, Noah Kaufman, Siddhi Doshi
Publishing Organization: Center on Global Energy policy, Brookings Institute
Academic/research institution or journal
Summary: This paper looks into the long-term implications of the federal climate policies on the coal-dependent counties’ economy across the U.S. and discusses what it would mean for future coal production. Additionally, it examines a potential spill out to the national economy through the national bonds market and proposes the measures necessary to both reduce the risks associated with bonds issued by coal jurisdictions and ensure the economic resilience of those counties.

The authors argue that coal mining across the U.S. has declined in the last decade, due in part to new environmental regulations imposed by the federal government. Focusing specifically on three counties (Mercer, Boone, and Campbell), they further analyze the regions’ fiscal exposure to coal and various carbon pricing scenarios, and predict a fall in the counties’ revenues under stringent climate policy scenarios.

Additionally, the authors examine the bonds issued by coal jurisdictions, arguing that municipal bonds are becoming volatile due to “budget pressure” and extreme weather conditions. Moreover, they caution investors against the “vague and incomplete” disclosures of risks associated with coal assets, citing the economic defaults of late 1970 and the early 1980s due to their negligence on risk exposure associated with nuclear power bonds. The authors conclude with recommendations for local economic diversification, urging the federal government to invest more in programs that ensure worker retraining and the provision of other social benefits. They further suggest combining climate policies with investment to ensure the financial health of coal-dependent counties.